The Bowl Page
Created
10/11/00;
Updated
4/27/14

 






'Cats Will Look to Return
to Postseason in 2014;
B1G Debuts New Bowl Lineup



The 'Cats will attempt to return to the postseason in '14.  When they do, it will be with a new bowl lineup.

The Big Ten unveiled last summer its new bowl arrangements, including 11 different bowl games that will rotate to fill nine spots per year.  Nine landing places for the conference is a record for the B1G.

More importantly, the selection process has changed.  Rather than each bowl having a spot in a one-by-one pecking order, the bowls are tiered, and each bowl within a tier will work together and with the Big Ten Conference to determine which eligible team is the best "fit" within the tier.  The criteria are a labyrinth of financial and media-driven rules.  However, they are influenced by how many times a team has recently played in the bowl in question.

Note that between now and the start of the season, this lineup and selection sequence will likely change.

Because of the new system, HailToPurple.com has stopped predicting NU's chances for each individual bowl.  Instead, we will forecast in which tier NU will land (see below).



Annual "Way Too Early" Bowl Projections

Updated April 27-- As we do every year, HailToPurple.com has projected NU's bowl chances coming out of spring practice.  Below are the projected chances for each tier of bowl spots.

Coming out of an uncertain spring, with some questions on the offensive line and a few depth issues on defense, NU will have some work to do during the fall preseason practices.  However, the biggest factor in NU's success this season will likely be the size of the distractions caused by the union issue.  Unfortunately, we predict that the division among the team because of this issue will seriously hamper the Wildcats' potential this fall.

As of the end of April, HTP projects NU as having a 43% chance of making it back to the postseason.  The most likely tier is four.

The next update to the projections will be during Camp Kenosha.


Schedule of Possible Bowls, 2014-15 (Initial List)

AND Schedule for the 2014 Big Ten Championship Game
Postseason
Tier
Bowl
(and Date)
Network
(may change)
NU's Chances*
(end of April)
West #1
vs. East #1
Big Ten Championship
Lucas Oil Stadium
Dec. 6, 2014
Fox
Sports
<1%
Tier One
Big Ten #1

Rose (vs. Pac-12)(not in play for
2014 season
: Rose will host Playoffs)
Jan. 1
ESPN <1%
Orange Bowl (alternate to Rose/
Capital One)
Dec. 31
ESPN
Tier Two
Big Ten #2-4


Capital One (vs. SEC)
Jan. 1
TBD 5%
Holiday Bowl (vs. Pac-12)
TBD
TBD
Outback Bowl (vs. SEC)
Jan. 1
TBD
Tier Three**
Big Ten #5-7

TaxSlayer (aka Gator) (vs. SEC?)
Jan. 2
ESPN 14%
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl (vs. Pac-12)
TBD
TBD
Music City Bowl (vs. SEC)
TBD
TBD
Pinstripe Bowl (vs. ACC)
TBD
TBD
Tier Four**
Big Ten #8-9


Armed Forces (vs. Big 12)
TBD
TBD 24%
Detroit (?) Bowl
TBD
TBD
Heart of Dallas
TBD
TBD

*The likelihood of each bowl is a simple projection by HailToPurple.com.  The likelihood numbers are additive.  So, if for instance the chance for a tier three bowl is given as 10%, that should NOT be read as saying that NU has only a 10% chance of making any bowl at that level or higher.  To calculate that likelihood, simply add all the chances above tier three to it.  The sum of all the listed chances equals the projected likelihood that NU will make any bowl game in 2014.  When adding, remember not to include the likelihood for the Big Ten championship game, since its chances overlap with the other postseason games.  During the season, this list will change after each game.
 
 ** There are more bowl games in these tiers than there are Big Ten team slots.  It is likely that a Big Ten team will not be chosen for both the Music City and Gator Bowls in a given year.  This is also the case with the Heart of Dallas Bowl and the Armed Forces Bowl.

 


Northwestern Bowl History


Select a link to view details about NU's 11 bowl appearances, bowl records, and other special games.