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The Bowl
Page
Created
10/11/00;
Updated 6/14/26
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'Cats Tear into 2026 with a Six-Bowl Win Streak;
Odd Slightly Favor Postseason Return
With
its win over Central Michigan in the 2025 GameAbove Sports Bowl,
Northwestern has claimed victory in its last six bowl games, dating
back to its win in the 2016 Pinstripe Bowl. NU's bowl streak is
currently third in the nation, behind only Minnesota (with nine
straight wins) and Ohio (with seven).
Coming into 2026, NU will be a new team-- and in many ways, a new
program. The Wildcats have a nearly entirely new offensive coaching
staff, led by Chip Kelly, and several new faces on the defensive side.
They will be led on the field by a new quarterback, most likely
incoming former Oregon / Michigan State QB Aidan Chiles. And, of
course, the 'Cats are expected to open the new Ryan Field, setting the
stage for the team's 150th anniversary season to become Year One of the
program's new era.
NU's biggest challenge? Its 2026 schedule, which is a Big Ten
murderer's row of heavy-hitting programs. The 'Cats will be very, very
lucky to win just one of its games among the set of Indiana, Ohio
State, and Oregon (all road games). NU's home games include its stadium
opener against Penn State, a potential slug-fest with Iowa, and a
chance at revenge against Illinois. And we should not overlook the
season opener, a night game against a very dangerous South Dakota State
team.
While there will be many new components to the team
and quite a few question marks, NU has a slightly better than 50% chance
of returning to the postseason this year to compete for its
seventh-straight bowl win.
Wins and Bowl Projections: First Preseason Update
HTP's model sets the chances of NU making the 2026 postseason at 51%, essentially a coin flip.
The model points to NU notching either five or six
wins in the regular season.
Our model, as usual, predicts a decent chance that a
five-win NU would make it into a bowl. However, as the season begins this
factor could change if it becomes clear that the FBS will be able to
field an adequate supply of six-win teams to fill all bowl slots.
Which
bowl could NU make? Well, it won't likely be a Big Ten tie-in bowl. For
the first time since they joined the conference, the former Pac-12
teams will be eligible for Big Ten bowl games, making for a very
crowded conference field. Also decreasing the odds for a
conference-tied bowl is the elimination of the Detroit bowl, typically
the landing spot for the Big Ten's last bowl-eligible team.
Because of this, taken together with the projected number of wins for
NU, HTP initially projects that the Wildcats will make a bowl, but it
will be an at-large spot.
The
next update to the projections will post just before the season kicks off.
Schedule of Possible Bowls, 2026-27
AND Schedule for the 2026 Big Ten Championship Game
Postseason
Tier |
Game
(and Date) |
Network
(may change) |
NU's Chances1
(as of 6/14/26)
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Big Ten Title Game:
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Big Ten
#1 & #2
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Big Ten Championship
Lucas Oil Stadium Dec. 5, 2026
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Fox |
<1%
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Postseason: |
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CFP Big Ten #1,
and Likely
#2-4
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2026-27 Quarterfinal Games
(Ranked #1-#4, plus 1st Round winners): Fiesta Bowl: Dec. 30 Cotton Bowl: Jan. 1 Peach Bowl: Jan. 1 Rose Bowl: Jan. 1
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Fiesta: TNT
Rest: tbd
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3%
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CFP First Round (Ranked #5-#12): On Campus (one game): Dec. 18
On Campus (three games): Dec. 19
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ESPN
ABC/TNT
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Tier Two
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Citrus (vs. SEC) Jan. 2
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ABC |
2%
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ReliaQuest2 (vs. SEC) Dec. 31
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ESPN |
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Tier Three
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Gator (B1G or ACC vs. SEC)
(Not likely to select B1G in 2026) Dec. 30
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ESPN |
18%
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Las Vegas (B1G/ACC/Big 12 vs. SEC) Dec. 31
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ESPN |
Music City (vs. SEC) Dec. 30
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ESPN |
Pinstripe (vs. ACC) Dec. 26
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ABC |
Tier Four
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Cactus3 (vs. Big 12) Dec. 26
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ABC |
9%
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At Large
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Non-Aligned Bowl
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n/a |
19% |
Notes:
1. The
likelihood of each bowl is a simple projection by
HailToPurple.com. The likelihood numbers are additive. So,
if for
instance the chance for a tier three bowl is given as 10%, that should
NOT be read as saying that NU has only a 10% chance of making any bowl
at that level or higher. To calculate that
likelihood, simply add all the chances above tier three to
it. The sum of all the listed chances equals the projected
likelihood that NU will make any bowl game. When adding, remember not to
include the likelihood for the Big Ten championship game, since its
chances overlap with the other postseason games. During the
season, this list will change after each game.
2. The ReliaQuest Bowl is the former Hall of Fame Bowl, later re-named
the Outback Bowl.
3. The Cactus Bowl is the renamed Rate Bowl, which has been part of the
Big Ten's bowl portfolio for several years. Originally the Copper Bowl,
this game was later renamed the Insight.com Bowl, Insight Bowl, Buffalo
Wild Wings Bowl, Cheez-It Bowl, and then the Guaranteed Rate Bowl.
Northwestern Bowl History
Select a link to view details about NU's 18 bowl appearances, bowl records, and other special games.
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