Lowes Line
Posted
10/23/20

 




 
Maryland Preview and Prediction
 

By Jersey Cat



Matchup: Maryland Terrapins (0-0) at Northwestern Wildcats (0-0)
Date: Saturday, October 24, 2020, 6:30 pm CDT
TV: BTN
Line: Northwestern (-11)
 

Outlook:

Welcome back for another Lowes Line season, Northwestern fans!  It’s been a week short of 11 months since the Wildcats last took the field, when they topped the Illini for the fifth consecutive year, one of the few bright spots in an otherwise brutal 3-9 season.  For quite a while, it didn’t look like the 2020 campaign would happen for the Big Ten, but a reversal of fortune occurred after the initial decision to cancel the season, and here we are with an 8+1 game schedule.
 
The schedule consists of solely conference games, six against Big Ten West rivals, and two crossover games with Big Ten East opponents. In addition to this week’s game against Maryland, the ‘Cats will be taking on Michigan State in Evanston on November 28th.  The ninth game on the schedule will also be a crossover game on December 19th, a matchup with the East team with the same division finish as NU has in the West.
 
Things will be quiet inside Ryan Field this season, with COVID-impacted capacity limited to approximately 1,100 fans and each player receiving four tickets for family and friends.  It’s ok, you can chuckle to yourself and say, “Heh, probably no quieter than any other game...”  We’re all old and laugh at dad jokes too. 
 
This will be a big year for the Northwestern offense, and the team will likely be judged by how this unit performs.  A team that went 8-1 in the Big Ten in 2018 did an about face last year and finished 1-8.  This was the straw that finally broke the camel’s back, and long-time offensive coordinator Mick McCall left the program after leading the offense since 2008. It was viewed as a long time coming by many, and last year was simply woeful by nearly any offensive metric.  Consider: the first six conference games last year had NU averaging less than 7 points per game, and their total offense was near the bottom of the collection of FBS squads.
 
Replacing McCall is Mike Bajakian, who comes to NU from Boston College where he was the offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach, having also had the same role at Tennessee and Cincinnati prior to BC.  Bajakian also spent time in the NFL, as the quarterbacks coach for the Tampa Bay Bucs.  Expect a significant uptick from the offense under his leadership and approach.  In nine seasons as a college offensive coordinator, Bajakian’s squads have averaged over 400 yards and 30 points per game.
 
So what does new OC Bajakian have to work with?  After no less than four QBs taking snaps last season, Northwestern turns to graduate transfer Peyton Ramsey, who played three seasons at Indiana before arriving in Evanston.  Ramsey was named honorable mention All-Big Ten last year in Bloomington, where he threw for 13 TDs and ran for 7 more.  He’s been named the starter on the two-deep this week.
 
Recovering from surgery after only seeing time in five games last season is junior running back Isaiah Bowser, who looked very promising as a true freshman in 2018.  Bowser and NU running back legacy Drake Anderson will be seeing the bulk of snaps in the backfield.
 
Offensive lineman and NFL prospect Rashawn Slater opted not to play in August, and he’ll be missed on the line, but there’s considerable excitement about true freshman Peter Skoronski, who’ll line up at left tackle. Skoronski is considered one of the top five recruits in NU history and was the second-rated high school player in Illinois last year.
  
The receiving corps starts three seniors, with Riley Lees looking to be the primary target.  With the arrival of offensive coordinator Bajakian is the departure of the term “superback” from the NU lexicon.  The ‘Cats start another graduate transfer at tight end, John Raine, who comes to Evanston after receiving his degree last year at Florida Atlantic where he was named honorable mention all-Conference USA.
 
On the other side of the ball, defensive coordinator Mike Hankwitz will have a tough time replacing the production of tackle Joe Gaziano, who has graduated.  The defensive line will likely be the weak link of this unit, and the ability of the ‘Cats defensive front to mount a pass rush will be critical.  The linebackers’ starting unit consists of three seniors, led by preseason All-Big Ten selection Paddy Fisher.  The secondary returns Cam Ruiz at corner and JR Pace at safety.  The other projected starter at corner, junior Greg Newsome, is reportedly out for the opener this week with an injury.
 
Coach Fitz is going for career win # 100 in the season opener.  It’s hard to believe Fitz is entering his 15th season as head coach, and he’s not yet 50 years old.  Give him credit for making a change at offensive coordinator.  A fiercely loyal coach, the time had come to finally admit things were woeful on offense and make a change.  Let’s hope Bajakian can have an immediate positive impact.
  
What do we know about the Terrapins?  Other than those dudes star in Xfinity commercials about slow internet speeds and tasting damn good in some soup with a dash of sherry, not a hell of a lot.  They’re very young and very new, for one.  The Terps have 39 freshman and 18 transfers on the squad.  Historically, Maryland tends to recruit top tier receivers, with Jeshaun Jones and Dontay Demus being the big names for the Terps.  The NU secondary could have their hands full containing this pair.
 
It’s a wild card to predict what’s going to happen with the ‘Cats at the outset.  How were they impacted by the pandemic, reduced practices in both the spring and summer, etc.?  Did Bajakian have enough time since being hired to install all elements of his offense? Not that it happens often with the Wildcats, but there are no non-conference games to iron out the kinks, and every game will be important to the division title.
  
One thing we know for sure, regardless: Northwestern as a big home favorite?  Has anyone in Vegas been paying attention over the past 15 years?
 
Pick:  Slow and steady doesn’t win this race.  ‘Cats start off quick, but hold on to win this one.  Northwestern 27, Maryland 24.  Take the Terps and the points.





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Lowes Line is an e-mailed description of NU's next football game, with an invariably fearless prediction of the outcome and how NU will fare against what the other "experts" predict.  Our good friend and Brother Marcus Lowes began the broadcast mailing in 1996.  The crack Lowes Line Staff (alumni Jersey Cat, GallopingGrapes, P.S. O'Briant, Eric Cockerill, Joel Kanvik, Charlie Simon, and MO'Cats) have continued the Line in memory of Marcus.  For the 2020 season it has returned to HailToPurple.com, for anyone to enjoy.  Thanks to the gridiron brain trust at the Lowes Line!